Yves came Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Nassim Nicholas Taleb) shattered the misleading logic behind Covid’s ageism. Moreover, before the facts in South Africa are known, the idea that older people are more likely to get sick is simply incorrect:

The newscaster first described the “exponential” rise in cases, and then interviewed the head of the ICU at the largest hospital in Gauteng (and the entire southern hemisphere). Professor Mathivha gave a stern front-line view and confirmed that the number of Covid hospital admissions had increased “exponentially” last week, and that it has rapidly transformed into hospitalization among young people, even young children and infants.

However, the problem with her interview is that it is clear that she does not know how many patients use Omicron and Delta. In addition, she is not an epidemiologist or virologist, so when she is speculating and does not clearly express what she is seeing, you must discount. She pointed out that compared with the elderly and disadvantaged groups, some or even most of the bias in hospitalization among young people is due to their extremely low vaccination rates. As she explained, due to the success of anti-vaccine lobbying, young people have developed a great deal of resistance to vaccines, and vaccination campaigns targeting high-risk groups have performed well. After the last Covid wave subsided, preventive measures were almost completely abandoned, making the situation worse.

Another caveat is that the focus of this interview was the discovery of Omnicron cases in the Netherlands before South Africa’s sequencing: our GM was probably based on the ideas of other scientists, and at first it was said that this meant that then the unnamed variant was in RSA in October. In the spread. B.1.1X was observed in Africa in mid-2020, and was not observed again until the Guaton star cluster. So it is too early to exclude RSA as an incubator.

By Nasim Nicholas Taleb.Originally published on Moderate

Obviously, Covid has a disproportionate impact on the elderly. But the same is true for almost all other diseases.A simple fact of life, in the population, the elderly die disproportionately All reasons.

If you look at the impact of population mortality, you will notice that Covid reduces life expectancy across the board in proportion to people’s mortality, which is an impact that starts before middle age.

Figure 1-In November 2021, the multiplier of the mortality rate for the age group over 30 years old. For young people, the rate is low and unstable due to deaths caused by COVID and the rarity of deaths.

The numbers in the figure now represent the increase in death rates for all citizens during the relevant period (the death toll in the United States is about 800,000 and is still being calculated, regardless of the possible underestimation of about 200,000 people).Now this represents an increase in mortality Rear All mitigation measures, including travel restrictions, isolation, lockdown, vaccines, isolation, masks, etc. The graph above also does not show the delayed effect of morbidity. Recall that so far, only 48 million American citizens have been reported to be affected. If the entire population is infected (some ignorant idiots call it “herd immunity”), the impact may be multiplied by >5 (or, given the underestimation of cases, it may be >3).

Now, if we are to calculate the impact on life expectancy, please note that the impact is comprehensive: a 30-year-old person loses more than 50 years of life, an 80-year-old person loses about 10 years, etc.

Unconditional eugenics

The inconsistencies are as follows

If Covid is a problem for the elderly and should be ignored because of it, let us treat cardiology, oncology, urology and most internal medicine in the same way.

The “elderly problem” related to Covid has actually become an argument for unconditional eugenics and unconditional anti-aging agents. The main feature of a civilized society is to protect the weak: the ancient Mediterranean people gave older people (senators) a higher status. This is true of almost every society that has not decayed.

Those who advocated the killing failed to correctly counter the facts. For example, just as a legislator declared that aircraft inspections were redundant (and costly) because there have been no recent terrorist incidents, many people are arguing about ground measures to reduce the number of deaths due to the new crown virus.

Golden Rule (ergodic) argument

Another problem that young people with mental illness will not encounter is that the way society is constructed is through dynamic rather than static reasoning.When I continue to write uncertain, A certain type of people (usually involving technology) affected by black swan blindness suffer from mental disorders that make them ignore these things moveA 30-year-old will not be frozen into a full youth, and the (civilized) society has been organized around generational commitments: you treat the current elderly in the way you want to be treated when you grow up. Because even the mentally ill will one day get old.

It is not about a single event (this pandemic) but all future pandemics, including pandemics that will happen when you are old. Why is it so difficult to comprehend, kill the predecessors, you will be reduced yourself Life expectancy?