The Phillies surprised many in the first round of the 2021 MLB draft. They selected high school pitcher Mick Abel in the 2020 draft. One year later, they selected right-handed reserve pitcher Andrew with the 13th overall pick. ·Pant.

The good news is that the Phillies may reach the top of the rotation in 2025. The bad news is that high school pitchers, especially right pitchers, have the highest turnover rate of any category. To make matters worse, the recent Phillies’ overall turnover rate in the first round itself is very poor. Aaron Nola is by far their most accomplished first-round pick in the past decade, almost all of whom entered the first half of the draft.

However, if the club can train painters with Abel, they may have a strong 1-2 impact in the next few years. However, easier said than done.

Nonetheless, the Phillies should lay a good foundation on Painter. They have conducted a lot of scouts on this man throughout their careers at Calvary Christian High School in South Florida—not to mention this man, because he is a teammate. So they have some inside information that Joe Girardi’s son Dante is in Calvary Christian. Throughout the process, they believed that the 6-foot-7-inch painter was their best choice, a few positions higher than when he was expected to go.

This writer has never seen Painter throw with his own eyes, and this will not surprise you-unfortunately, I can’t escape to Fort Lauderdale as often as I hope-so we will rely on expert opinions (And the movie) I have to say this young pitcher, because the numbers speak for themselves: As a senior in 47 innings, The painter led 6-1 with a score of 0.38 and 93 strikeouts.

Let’s go to the tape to see what Painter looks like on the mound:

It’s not a matter of seeing it with our own eyes, and it’s a bit difficult to judge, so when it comes to analyzing Painter’s game, let’s start with a few scout reports. From Fangraphs:

Painter is a typical preparation arm. It has an XXL frame, excellent arm strength and a natural sense of rotation, and like many such high school students, if everything is combined, he can make transit shots. Painter’s fastball speed has been climbing throughout the summer of 2020, and in his last short show outing, he ended the game with a score of 94-97. He also has three other courts: a change from the mid-80s, a curveball from the mid-70s, and a slider from the mid-80s. Now it has a knife-point level action, but Painter has a good arm side feel. You can point to Tyler Kolek and say that there is some risk in taking a child this old in the first round, but his stuff belongs to the middle third of the first day. [fangraphs.com]

As you can see there, Fangraphs agrees with the general view that it might be a bit risky to win Painter in the first half of the first round, but Scouting report on MLB.comHe was listed as the 18th candidate before the draft, and he was more optimistic about the 18-year-old pitcher.

There are high school pitchers who have received a lot of attention because of their huge raw materials, and there are also reserve teams that have an advanced feel for pitching. When two people come together in a prospect, there is a chance to create something special. Painter showcased the exciting combination of original materials and pitching feel in many exhibition events during the summer, thus making himself one of the best high school pitchers in the 2021 draft class. He did not take any measures to combat these expectations, 54% of the batsmen he faced during his senior year were knocked down, and he won the honor of Player of the Year when he went to Gatorade State High School.

Painter provides a reasonable four-pitch blend from a 6-foot-6-inch frame and has a very advanced feel for his game plan on the mound. His speed is usually between 93-95 mph and 96 mph with his fastball. He uses two and four sealers at the same time and likes to lift to swing and make mistakes in the area. He threw a 12-6 curve ball in the mid-1970s and mid-80s, and in the summer he flashed a potential plus change.

Despite his size, Painter’s athletic ability on the mound is very strong, and his shooting ability is also very good. He has made all four shots. He has the opportunity to have better control and command in the future. Although he is already strong, his body has a projection. As he matures, he can throw harder. Committed to Florida, Painter should be one of the first high school pitchers to leave the board in July. [mlb.com]

After being selected, former Philadelphia and Hall of Fame pitcher Pedro Martinez spoke highly of the painter, comparing him to former teammate Mark Pryor.

So, what do Philadelphians scouts see in Painter about what they like? According to Brian Barber, the head of amateur scouts, MLB.com saw a lot of the same things in the aforementioned scout reports, including his height, his command and pitching diversity, and what they called “Feeling” of the game.this is More from Jim Salisbury at NBC Sports PhiladelphiaWho noticed how interested the Phillies were in this young pitcher at least last year:

In the past 12 months, every time Patel captured the mound, the Phillies scouts would be there. Barber personally scouts his seven starts.

“He is a big man, and you will notice this immediately,” Barber said. “Then you start to delve into the attributes of baseball. Pitching is a good starting point. The arm movements are very good. And he has very good things.

“When we first met him last summer, he was at a speed of 97 mph. He has a curveball and a slider. Both items can be added, and for an 18-year-old, he It feels very good.

“The icing on the cake is that people at this age have the feel and ability to pitch. From day one, this is a complete package for us.”

High school pitchers, especially right-handers, have historically represented the most at-risk groups in the draft. Since Barber became the director of scouts, the Phillies have gone this way for two consecutive years. [nbcsports.com]

For Barber, this is his second draft, and for the second year in a row he decided to take this risk in high school, perhaps trying to get as many dice as possible, hoping that one person will come out.this is More from Matt Breen from The Inquirer:

Painter and Abel are still a few years away from the Grand Slam, but the Phillies allowed themselves to imagine a rotation led by first-round picks.

“This is proposed,” Barber said. “But that’s not why we took Andrew away. They are two separate conversations. We evaluated Andrew ourselves, and then when you started talking about the excitement and benefits of Mick last year and the opportunity to add Andrew to it, these people Let’s rise up in the minor leagues together, and hope that one day you can rotate in Philadelphia. Yes, this excites us.”

This is the eighth consecutive year that the Phillies have been selected to the No. 16 or better team. They won a total of 25.2 wins in the last seven first-round drafts with the Phillies, but 91% of them were 2014 first-round player Aaron Nola.

For the past ten years, the Phillies have been among the best in the draft, but they have not yet profited from it. Bryson Stott (2019) and Abel (2020) have left a deep impression in the minor leagues, so there is still hope. The 23-year-old Stott has a score of 0.258 this season, and the OPS between the Jersey Shore High A and Reading Double A is 0.833. He represented the Phillies in the futures game in Denver on Sunday. [inquirer.com]

The last paragraph is a thought-provoking reminder that although every team is happy with Monday’s first-round draft, only some of them will feel the same a few years later. A few years later, maybe only a few people still think they have made the right choice.

For the Phillies, the decision to choose Painter can become a big assumption, especially if they find that they have found the wrong person when they have other more obvious choices on the board.Here are more from Gabriel Starr with that ball left here…

2. Painter is not expected to be selected so high.

Before the actual draft, the mock draft makes Painter’s price much lower. FanGraphs predicts Painter will go to the Cincinnati Redskins at No. 35. Of course, when the Pittsburgh Pirates didn’t put Marcelo Mayer in the first place, their mock draft was eliminated all morning.

Since the Red Sox drafted Triston Casas in 2018, the painter is the first HS pitcher selected in the first round in the Broward/Palm Beach area. […]

4. The Phillies choose Painter over top rookie Khalil Watson

Khalil Watson is expected to be a top ten or even top five pick in Sunday’s draft, but when the Phillies had a pick at the age of 13, he was still free. Watson was a shortstop for the Wake Forest team and was not selected until the Marlins placed him in the 16th overall pick. This move is called a “steal” draft.

Since the Phillies have been working hard to develop their pitching prospects, Painter is a risk. But whether passing Watson was a mistake will not be determined until a further road. [thatballsouttahere.com]

It will take the Phillies (and their fans) a few years to know if they made the right decision on Sunday night, but in most cases, they seem to have at least given themselves a chance in the distant future. . Of course, many things may happen between now and then.

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