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He frequently called for interest rate cuts and the removal of three central bank governors, which put Turkey facing greater financial pressure.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan called for interest rate cuts in the next two months and said he had a conversation with the new governor of the Central Bank on this, pushing the Turkish Lira exchange rate to a record low.
Erdogan said in a television interview with the national broadcaster TRT Haber late on Tuesday: “I support the same proposition on this issue-I even talked to the governor of the central bank today-of course we need to lower interest rates. .??” “For this, we need to see interest rates in July and August start to fall,” he said, adding that lowering interest rates will reduce the burden of investment.
The Turkish leader’s remarks are part of a longer explanation of his unorthodox view that lowering borrowing costs will help slow inflation, which is different from the opinion of most central bankers around the world. Erdogan said that interest rate cuts will reduce costs for producers and ultimately lead to a slowdown in consumer price increases.
Erdogan said: “If we remove the interest rate burden from investment and costs, then we will enter a calmer environment, because first, interest rates cause cost inflation.”
Damaged reputation
Erdogan’s frequent calls for lower borrowing costs and the sudden removal of three central bank governors in less than two years have weakened Turkey’s currency credibility and made it more vulnerable to high inflation and financial crises.
On Wednesday at 05:27 GMT, the currency exchange rate against the US dollar was 8.63.
Since mid-March, Erdogan, a self-proclaimed “enemy of interest rates,” has ousted a tough and respected central bank governor and appointed a like-minded critic of austerity, it has fallen 16 %.
Since then, the new bank governor Sahap Kavcioglu will keep the policy rate unchanged at 19%, but analysts expect a rate cut in the third quarter. The inflation rate has risen to more than 17%, and the currency devaluation has increased price pressure through Turkey’s large imports.
Central bank leaders are scheduled to hold a conference call with investors later on Wednesday to discuss policy and economic prospects.
A foreign investor said: “Erdogan’s intervention in discussing interest rate cuts late at night is obviously not helpful to Kavsioglu’s answering investor calls.”
Due to concerns about global inflation and Turkey’s early elections, the currency was hit hard again last week.
Turkey, which relies on foreign exchange earnings from the tourism industry to support its current account deficit, is likely to lose its peak season again this year due to the large number of COVID-19 cases and restrictions on travel in many countries.
“Unfortunately, the prospect of a central bank rate cut has caused the Turkish lira to fall sharply,” Robin Brooks, chief economist at the Institute of International Finance, said on Twitter. “The drop in the lira means that financial conditions are tightening and growth is slowing.”
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